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rst and foremost, it's important to understand how prices are set in a market economy. At the heart of this is information and what is known as a contingent contract.

首先，有个很重要的点需要了解，那就是市场经济中的价格是如何确定的。这其中最核心的两个要素就是信息以及所谓的或有合约。

Essentially, this type of arrangement places stipulations on the price paid based on external factors: if X happens, then I'll pay this much.

从根源上讲，是这样的体系为价格的确定给出了规则，让我们得以根据外部因素来确定价格：如果某件特定的事发生，那我就会付这么多。

One question that many investors have is "What happens to my money when stock prices go down?"

很多投资者会问的一个问题是“当股价下跌的时候，我的钱去哪里了？”

The answer is not easy, and before you dive into the stock market, it's essential that you know how it works.

这个问题回答起来并不容易，而在你投身股市之前，有必要先弄明白它是如何运作的。

To further complicate things, economic situations like a recession can throw many things off.

有些时候事情会变得更加复杂，比如衰退一类的经济状况，它会让很多东西都乱套。

For instance, just because an economy goes into recession, doesn't mean that prices will fall.

比如，当经济衰退的时候，价格并不一定会下降。

In fact, it's the opposite for things like housing. Quite often, prices go up because supply is down and demand is up. This rise in prices is known as inflation.

实际上，对于房市来说恰好相反。通常由于供给下降而需求升高，价格会上涨。这种上涨就是我们所知的通货膨胀。

Interest Rates and Exchange Rates

利率与汇率

Interest rates and exchange rates also cause fluctuations in the markets.

利率与汇率也会给市场带来波动。

You will often hear e conomists express concern over these. When interest rates go down, people tend to buy and borrow more. Yet, this can cause interest rates to rise in the end.

你会经常听到经济学家们对此发表关切。当利率降低的时候，人们倾向于买更多的东西、借更多的钱。而这最终会导致利率升高。

Exchange rates refer to how the currency of one country compares to those of another. These are key components in the global economy.

汇率指的是一个国家的货币相较于其他国家的货币值多少钱。这是国际经济中的一个关键要素。

Other terms you'll hear in reference to the markets are opportunity costs, cost measures, and monopolies. Each is a key element in understanding the overall economic forecast.

你会听到的其他一些关于市场的概念包括机会成本、成本计量、垄断，每一个对于你理解宏观经济预测来说都是很关键的元素。

And we will talk about them in detail in the future.

这些我们以后再详细讲。

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